Here are a few facts to chew on after Oregon State lost its opener, 58-27, last Saturday to Colorado State.
Third year coach Gary Andersen is:
• 6-19 overall
• 3-15 in the Pac-12
• 0-12 on the road
• 3-2 against non-power-5 conference schools (losses to Boise and CSU, wins vs. Idaho St, Weber St. and San Jose ST.)
None of those figures inspire confidence.
Yes, Colorado State was playing the first game in a new stadium. And, yes, the Rams might actually have a good team. They have, after all, played in four consecutive bowls games — OSU has been to one bowl game in that time period.
But to have a breakout season and qualify for a bowl game, OSU needed to come out of the chute fast and go 3-0 in nonconference games (their next two foes are Portland State and Minnesota at home).
Why was a 3-0 start so critical? Because the Beavers play a brutal first five conference games against Washington State, Washington, USC, Colorado and Stanford. Yes, three of the games (Huskies, Buffaloes and Cardinal) are at Reser Stadium. And, yes, the Beavs do have two restorative byes in that time period.
But what do you think their record will be after the Oct. 26 Thursday night home game against Stanford? How many of those five games can the Beavers win if they give up 58 points to Colorado State?
If the Beavers go 1-4 or 0-5 in that five-game section, well … you can do math.
Down the stretch the games … appear to get easier (Cal, the two Arizona schools and the Ducks) … but only the Arizona game is at Reser.
And remember Andersen’s next road win at OSU will be his first.